Thinking about buying your first home in Prospect (2148)? This page brings together 17 data cards from NSW government, the ABS, Transport for NSW, and Domain auction results to help you decide if Prospect is the right fit. The analysis covers affordability and FHB scheme eligibility, schools and childcare, dealbreakers like flood and bushfire, and how the suburb is changing. Jump between the four sections using the sticky navigation, or scroll through the full analysis below.
Is Prospect a good suburb to buy in 2026?
Prospect (2148) scores a Stickybeak Grade across safety, family fit, financial picture, and lifestyle. Scroll down for the full 17-card analysis, or use the section navigation to jump to what matters most.
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72 min
70 min
24 min
47 min
74 min
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The verdict
Who it is for
Prospect suits established families and upsizers who can comfortably clear the $1,222,500 house median and want a predominantly owner-occupied, detached-housing neighbourhood. The 77% owner-occupier rate and 84% separate house stock signal genuine residential stability. Selective school zoning for Blacktown Boys and Girls High adds real appeal for families with older children, and 31 nearby childcare services cover the younger years well. SEIFA decile 7 suggests a solid, working-to-middle-income community.
Who would not love it
First home buyers are locked out at the house median, and the FHBAS stamp duty concession does not apply here. The unit median of $648,500 is more accessible, but units make up only 10% of stock, so choice is thin. Walkability sits at the Sydney median with just one gym and two medical services within 1.6 km, which is unremarkable. Eighteen percent of the postcode sits on bushfire-prone land, and the composite Stickybeak grade of C+ reflects real, unresolved trade-offs.
What to verify before you bid
- Check whether the specific lot you are buying falls within the 18% bushfire-prone area using the NSW Rural Fire Service Spatial Portal, as this affects insurance costs and building restrictions. - The unit median jumped 32.8% year-on-year from 42 sales. Verify comparable sales individually before relying on that figure as a stable benchmark. - Confirm proximity to the two medical services within 1.6 km, given the limited count for a suburb of this size and family demographic.
Refreshed fortnightly; last refresh 12 May 2026. Verify any specific fact against its source card below.
SAFETY
Will I feel safe and comfortable in Prospect?
BOCSAR · PROSPECT 2148
Recorded incidents reported to police
12-month rolling total at suburb level, indexed against Greater Sydney.
RATE PER 100K4,20312 mo to Dec 2025
VS GREATER SYDNEY−48%Below Sydney average
5-YR TREND (LGA)Blacktown
Within LGA: Blacktown
TOP OFFENCE CATEGORIES
THEFT54%81 reports
ASSAULT30%45 reports
INTIMIDATION, STALKING AND HARASSMENT17%25 reports
ASSAULT SPLIT (DOMESTIC VS NON-DOMESTIC)
DOMESTIC VIOLENCE FLAGGED45%
NON-DOMESTIC55%
Across 42 assault reports in this window.
DV-flagged assault has risen statewide as reporting has improved. Compare with caution to suburbs whose population has changed materially.
BOCSAR Recorded Criminal Incidents · Updated March 2026 · CC BY 4.0
Air quality
Air quality in Prospect
44
FairAQI · NSW DCCEEW
16:10 AEST
Prospect station · 1.7 km from centroid
12-month median:AQI 33 · Good
Air quality is acceptable but sensitive groups may notice effects.
Pollutants
nearest station
PM2.5i
11.0µg/m³
24-hr avg
PM10i
19.3µg/m³
24-hr avg
NO₂i
2.3pphm
1hr reading
AQI · last 12 months · daily mean
Prospect station · 365 daily points
Source: NSW DCCEEW Air Quality API↗ (CC BY 4.0). Historical data updated weekly; live readings cached 60 minutes.
Median weekly rent from lodged bonds. Sep 2025. Based on 149 new bond lodgements this quarter.
Rents here sit around the Sydney middle. A balance of rental stock and owner-occupier demand.
Median weekly rent · Unit · 2 bed
$560per week
Sep 2025 · 149 bonds lodged
Quarterly trend · last 12 quarters
Nearby suburbs · same combination
Doonside2767
…
4.0 km away
Seven Hills2147
…
4.2 km away
Old Toongabbie2146
…
4.9 km away
Rooty Hill2766
…
5.3 km away
NSW DCJ Rental Bond Board↗ · Sep 2025 · CC BY. Cells with 10 or fewer bond lodgements are suppressed; cells with 30 or fewer have the bond count suppressed but rent published. Figures are transacted rents, not asking rents.
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE · NSW PLANNING PORTAL · 2148
What’s in the pipeline
NSW Planning Portal feed paused at the source for postcode 2148. Expected back by Q3 2026.
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Compare Prospect with another suburb
Also in Blacktown
Comparing suburbs in the same area can sharpen your decision. Browse suburb insights for other Blacktown postcodes, or explore the full Blacktown suburb index.
Prospect is the primary suburb with postcode 2148 in New South Wales. In some cases multiple suburbs share the same postcode — Prospect is the main locality.
Which local government area is Prospect in?
Prospect (2148) is located in the Blacktown local government area in New South Wales.
What data does Stickybeak show for Prospect?
Stickybeak shows 16 data cards for Prospect (2148) covering affordability (median sale prices, rental yield, first home buyer eligibility), lifestyle (schools, childcare, walkability, commute times), risk factors (flood zones, bushfire prone land, air quality, traffic volume), and suburb growth signals (development pipeline, price trajectory, demographics).
Is Prospect flood prone?
Flood risk varies street by street in Prospect. Check the Dealbreakers section on this page for the latest NSW flood zone mapping sourced from official state government data. Always verify at the property level with a Section 10.7 certificate before purchasing.
What are the best schools near Prospect?
The Schools card on this page lists primary and secondary schools within the catchment area for Prospect (2148), including their NAPLAN performance data and distance from the suburb centre.
Is Prospect (2148) eligible for the First Home Buyer scheme?
The First Home Buyer eligibility card on this page shows which NSW and federal government schemes — including the First Home Guarantee, stamp duty exemptions, and the First Home Super Saver scheme — apply to purchases in Prospect (2148). Eligibility depends on the purchase price and your individual circumstances.
How is Prospect changing?
The Change section on this page covers new housing supply from the development pipeline, historical price trajectory, and demographic shifts for Prospect (2148) using data from NSW Planning, the ATO, and the ABS.
