Thinking about buying your first home in Minchinbury (2770)? This page brings together 17 data cards from NSW government, the ABS, Transport for NSW, and Domain auction results to help you decide if Minchinbury is the right fit. The analysis covers affordability and FHB scheme eligibility, schools and childcare, dealbreakers like flood and bushfire, and how the suburb is changing. Jump between the four sections using the sticky navigation, or scroll through the full analysis below.
Is Minchinbury a good suburb to buy in 2026?
Minchinbury (2770) scores a Stickybeak Grade across safety, family fit, financial picture, and lifestyle. Scroll down for the full 17-card analysis, or use the section navigation to jump to what matters most.
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94 min
91 min
46 min
67 min
95 min
Approximate off-peak driving times: straight-line distance × a Sydney detour factor at 35 km/h. Real road times will vary. Saved on this device.
The verdict
Who it is for
Minchinbury suits families with a combined income around $2,208 per week who want a freestanding house in a suburb where 78% of neighbours own their home. The median house sits at $1,130,000, so you will need a solid deposit and borrowing capacity. With 47 parks within 1.6 km, 43 nearby childcare services, and a median age of 35, the suburb has a clear family character. Air quality is genuinely good, with a 12-month median AQI of 32.
Who would not love it
First home buyers should note that the median house price of $1,130,000 sits above the First Home Buyer Assistance Scheme threshold, so stamp duty concessions are off the table. Walkability scores at only the 45th percentile in Sydney, and there is just one medical service within 1.6 km. The unit market recorded a -10.1% fall year-on-year from only 8 sales, making that figure unreliable and the segment illiquid. Public school ICSEA scores average 876, which is below the national mean of 1,000.
What to verify before you bid
- Confirm whether your specific lot sits within the 9.2% of postcode area mapped as bushfire-prone land, and check the applicable planning certificate before bidding. - The house median rose 14.1% in one year across only 51 sales. Verify comparable sales individually rather than relying on the headline figure. - With only one medical service within 1.6 km, check the nearest hospital and GP availability for your household's needs before committing.
Refreshed fortnightly; last refresh 12 May 2026. Verify any specific fact against its source card below.
SAFETY
Will I feel safe and comfortable in Minchinbury?
BOCSAR · MINCHINBURY 2770
Recorded incidents reported to police
12-month rolling total at suburb level, indexed against Greater Sydney.
RATE PER 100K7,54612 mo to Dec 2025
VS GREATER SYDNEY−6%Below Sydney average
5-YR TREND (LGA)Blacktown
Within LGA: Blacktown
TOP OFFENCE CATEGORIES
THEFT67%221 reports
ASSAULT19%61 reports
INTIMIDATION, STALKING AND HARASSMENT14%47 reports
ASSAULT SPLIT (DOMESTIC VS NON-DOMESTIC)
DOMESTIC VIOLENCE FLAGGED57%
NON-DOMESTIC43%
Across 60 assault reports in this window.
DV-flagged assault has risen statewide as reporting has improved. Compare with caution to suburbs whose population has changed materially.
BOCSAR Recorded Criminal Incidents · Updated March 2026 · CC BY 4.0
Air quality
Air quality in Minchinbury
26
GoodAQI · NSW DCCEEW
14:24 AEST
St Marys station · 6.8 km from centroid
12-month median:AQI 32 · Good
Air quality is generally safe for outdoor activity.
Pollutants
nearest station
PM2.5i
4.5µg/m³
24-hr avg
PM10i
12.8µg/m³
24-hr avg
NO₂i
1.7pphm
1hr reading
AQI · last 12 months · daily mean
St Marys station · 365 daily points
Source: NSW DCCEEW Air Quality API↗ (CC BY 4.0). Historical data updated weekly; live readings cached 60 minutes.
Median weekly rent from lodged bonds. Sep 2025. Based on 66 new bond lodgements this quarter.
Rents here sit around the Sydney middle. A balance of rental stock and owner-occupier demand.
Median weekly rent · Unit · 2 bed
$470per week
Sep 2025 · 66 bonds lodged
Quarterly trend · last 12 quarters
Nearby suburbs · same combination
Hassall Grove2761
$500▲$30
2.9 km away
St Marys2760
$483▲$13
3.4 km away
Rooty Hill2766
$520▲$50
4.2 km away
Doonside2767
$550▲$80
5.5 km away
NSW DCJ Rental Bond Board↗ · Sep 2025 · CC BY. Cells with 10 or fewer bond lodgements are suppressed; cells with 30 or fewer have the bond count suppressed but rent published. Figures are transacted rents, not asking rents.
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE · NSW PLANNING PORTAL · 2770
What’s in the pipeline
NSW Planning Portal feed paused at the source for postcode 2770. Expected back by Q3 2026.
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Compare Minchinbury with another suburb
Also in Blacktown
Comparing suburbs in the same area can sharpen your decision. Browse suburb insights for other Blacktown postcodes, or explore the full Blacktown suburb index.
Minchinbury is the primary suburb with postcode 2770 in New South Wales. In some cases multiple suburbs share the same postcode — Minchinbury is the main locality.
Which local government area is Minchinbury in?
Minchinbury (2770) is located in the Blacktown local government area in New South Wales.
What data does Stickybeak show for Minchinbury?
Stickybeak shows 16 data cards for Minchinbury (2770) covering affordability (median sale prices, rental yield, first home buyer eligibility), lifestyle (schools, childcare, walkability, commute times), risk factors (flood zones, bushfire prone land, air quality, traffic volume), and suburb growth signals (development pipeline, price trajectory, demographics).
Is Minchinbury flood prone?
Flood risk varies street by street in Minchinbury. Check the Dealbreakers section on this page for the latest NSW flood zone mapping sourced from official state government data. Always verify at the property level with a Section 10.7 certificate before purchasing.
What are the best schools near Minchinbury?
The Schools card on this page lists primary and secondary schools within the catchment area for Minchinbury (2770), including their NAPLAN performance data and distance from the suburb centre.
Is Minchinbury (2770) eligible for the First Home Buyer scheme?
The First Home Buyer eligibility card on this page shows which NSW and federal government schemes — including the First Home Guarantee, stamp duty exemptions, and the First Home Super Saver scheme — apply to purchases in Minchinbury (2770). Eligibility depends on the purchase price and your individual circumstances.
How is Minchinbury changing?
The Change section on this page covers new housing supply from the development pipeline, historical price trajectory, and demographic shifts for Minchinbury (2770) using data from NSW Planning, the ATO, and the ABS.
