Thinking about buying your first home in Little Bay (2036)? This page brings together 17 data cards from NSW government, the ABS, Transport for NSW, and Domain auction results to help you decide if Little Bay is the right fit. The analysis covers affordability and FHB scheme eligibility, schools and childcare, dealbreakers like flood and bushfire, and how the suburb is changing. Jump between the four sections using the sticky navigation, or scroll through the full analysis below.
Is Little Bay a good suburb to buy in 2026?
Little Bay (2036) scores a Stickybeak Grade across safety, family fit, financial picture, and lifestyle. Scroll down for the full 17-card analysis, or use the section navigation to jump to what matters most.
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28 min
36 min
67 min
59 min
16 min
Approximate off-peak driving times: straight-line distance × a Sydney detour factor at 35 km/h. Real road times will vary. Saved on this device.
The verdict
Who it is for
Little Bay suits established buyers who can absorb a $2,775,000 house price or a $1,400,000 unit price without first home buyer assistance, since neither qualifies for the FHBAS scheme. The suburb sits in SEIFA decile 10, meaning it draws high-income households, and the median weekly income of $2,364 reflects that. With 29 parks within 1.6 kilometres and clean air at a median AQI of 31, it rewards buyers who prioritise coastal green space over urban convenience.
Who would not love it
A walkability score of 22, placing it in the 21st percentile across Sydney, is a genuine problem if you rely on foot traffic for daily errands. There are zero supermarkets within 1.6 kilometres, so a car is not optional, it is essential. The unit median jumped 51.4 per cent year-on-year across only 57 sales, which is a thin sample and an unreliable signal. First home buyers are locked out entirely, and families should note the local secondary school ICSEA of 975 sits below the national average of 1000.
What to verify before you bid
- The unit price surge of 51.4 per cent rests on 57 transactions. Pull the individual sales to check whether a small cluster of high-value settlements is skewing the median before you use it as a benchmark. - Confirm your specific lot's flood overlay with Randwick Council, as coastal proximity and the absence of bushfire risk do not rule out stormwater or inundation issues. - Visit on a weekday to assess the supermarket gap firsthand and map your nearest full-service grocery option, given zero are recorded within 1.6 kilometres.
Refreshed fortnightly; last refresh 12 May 2026. Verify any specific fact against its source card below.
SAFETY
Will I feel safe and comfortable in Little Bay?
BOCSAR · LITTLE BAY 2036
Recorded incidents reported to police
12-month rolling total at suburb level, indexed against Greater Sydney.
RATE PER 100K3,57112 mo to Dec 2025
VS GREATER SYDNEY−55%Below Sydney average
5-YR TREND (LGA)Randwick
Within LGA: Randwick
TOP OFFENCE CATEGORIES
THEFT55%61 reports
INTIMIDATION, STALKING AND HARASSMENT23%25 reports
ASSAULT22%24 reports
ASSAULT SPLIT (DOMESTIC VS NON-DOMESTIC)
DOMESTIC VIOLENCE FLAGGED58%
NON-DOMESTIC42%
Across 24 assault reports in this window.
DV-flagged assault has risen statewide as reporting has improved. Compare with caution to suburbs whose population has changed materially.
BOCSAR Recorded Criminal Incidents · Updated March 2026 · CC BY 4.0
Air quality
Air quality in Little Bay
20
GoodAQI · NSW DCCEEW
14:23 AEST
Randwick station · 4.3 km from centroid
12-month median:AQI 31 · Good
Air quality is generally safe for outdoor activity.
Pollutants
nearest station
PM2.5i
3.9µg/m³
24-hr avg
PM10i
9.9µg/m³
24-hr avg
NO₂i
0.6pphm
1hr reading
AQI · last 12 months · daily mean
Randwick station · 365 daily points
Source: NSW DCCEEW Air Quality API↗ (CC BY 4.0). Historical data updated weekly; live readings cached 60 minutes.
Median weekly rent from lodged bonds. Sep 2025. Based on 301 new bond lodgements this quarter.
Rents here are at the higher end for Sydney. Higher holding costs for investors; higher savings pressure for renters.
Median weekly rent · Unit · 2 bed
$1,050per week
Sep 2025 · 301 bonds lodged
Quarterly trend · last 12 quarters
Nearby suburbs · same combination
Maroubra2035
$855▼$195
3.1 km away
Botany2019
$920▼$130
3.4 km away
Kingsford2032
$875▼$175
5.0 km away
Coogee2034
$935▼$115
5.4 km away
NSW DCJ Rental Bond Board↗ · Sep 2025 · CC BY. Cells with 10 or fewer bond lodgements are suppressed; cells with 30 or fewer have the bond count suppressed but rent published. Figures are transacted rents, not asking rents.
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE · NSW PLANNING PORTAL · 2036
What’s in the pipeline
NSW Planning Portal feed paused at the source for postcode 2036. Expected back by Q3 2026.
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Compare Little Bay with another suburb
Also in Randwick
Comparing suburbs in the same area can sharpen your decision. Browse suburb insights for other Randwick postcodes, or explore the full Randwick suburb index.
Little Bay is the primary suburb with postcode 2036 in New South Wales. In some cases multiple suburbs share the same postcode — Little Bay is the main locality.
Which local government area is Little Bay in?
Little Bay (2036) is located in the Randwick local government area in New South Wales.
What data does Stickybeak show for Little Bay?
Stickybeak shows 16 data cards for Little Bay (2036) covering affordability (median sale prices, rental yield, first home buyer eligibility), lifestyle (schools, childcare, walkability, commute times), risk factors (flood zones, bushfire prone land, air quality, traffic volume), and suburb growth signals (development pipeline, price trajectory, demographics).
Is Little Bay flood prone?
Flood risk varies street by street in Little Bay. Check the Dealbreakers section on this page for the latest NSW flood zone mapping sourced from official state government data. Always verify at the property level with a Section 10.7 certificate before purchasing.
What are the best schools near Little Bay?
The Schools card on this page lists primary and secondary schools within the catchment area for Little Bay (2036), including their NAPLAN performance data and distance from the suburb centre.
Is Little Bay (2036) eligible for the First Home Buyer scheme?
The First Home Buyer eligibility card on this page shows which NSW and federal government schemes — including the First Home Guarantee, stamp duty exemptions, and the First Home Super Saver scheme — apply to purchases in Little Bay (2036). Eligibility depends on the purchase price and your individual circumstances.
How is Little Bay changing?
The Change section on this page covers new housing supply from the development pipeline, historical price trajectory, and demographic shifts for Little Bay (2036) using data from NSW Planning, the ATO, and the ABS.
